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THE KLINE BASE STOCK MARGIN INDEX
February 2014


Kline Base Stocks Index

The Index estimates cash margin contributions associated with U.S. Group II base stock production. It simulates EBITDA before the deduction of corporate SG&A expenses for typical VGO-based virgin base stock plants and RFO-based re-refineries. A more detailed description of the Margin Index can be found in the January release.



“The Index was adversely affected in January by the run on distillates in the second half of the month,” said Ian Moncrieff, who manages Kline’s price forecasting activities. “We saw, for the first time, Gulf Coast prompt low sulfur VGO trading at above ULSD values, while FCC-derived light cycle oils were on par with heating oil. While distillate:VGO premiums have been narrowing structurally, we see last month’s events as unsustainable, which should result in some near term recovery in conventional Group II base oil margins.” Moncrieff continues, “To add to the uniqueness of January’s events, the Index’s re-refining cash margin exceeded that of conventional VGO-based plants for the first time. Finally, the Group II posted prices dropped by $0.15/gallon for light/medium neutrals, and a little more for 600N, reflecting the continuing weakness in the cash markets for base oils.”

For more information on the Kline Index, or to inquire about our pricing and margin analysis services to the base stocks industry, please contact Ian Moncrieff, Director in Kline’s Energy Practice at (973)-615-3680.

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