The PCMO Market in 2040: A Long-term Outlook

The global passenger car motor oil (PCMO) market is on the cusp of significant change due to many emerging technologies. The growth in electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles has the potential to greatly reduce the consumption of PCMO. As ride-sharing becomes more wide-spread, reliable, and economical, future car owners may decide to forego car ownership. This will also have the impact of reducing PCMO consumption. Autonomous vehicles are still a long way from everyday use, but they could find use in select applications, thereby impacting PCMO consumption.

This report helps subscribers to:

• Understand the nature of these disruptive technologies, the drivers and road-blocks to their proliferation, and their impact on PCMO consumption and quality levels
• Understand the state of development for the leading country markets and the scope for penetration of these new technologies
• Evaluate the emerging market opportunities and challenges
• Assess the impact on the global PCMO market in terms of future demand at an overall level and by quality levels, viscosity grades, and penetration of synthetics
• Assess the impact on the PCMO market supply chain, shifts in customer base, and the emergence of new customer groups

Report Contents

Introduction

Global Overview

• An overview of the PCMO market in 2040
• The electrification of vehicles and impact on PCMO
• The ride-sharing economy and impact on PCMO
• Autonomous vehicles and their impact on PCMO

Country Profiles
Detailed profiles of 15 leading country markets are provided, including the following information:

• Passenger vehicle fleet size and growth
  − Description of passenger vehicle fleet by vehicle size, fuel consumed, vehicle age, leading OEMs, and trends in passenger vehicle production, sales, and population growth
• Vehicle ownership and usage characteristics
  − Description of passenger vehicle fleet by vehicle size, fuel consumed, vehicle age, leading OEMs, and trends in passenger vehicle production, sales, and population growth
• PCMO market overview
  − PCMO demand by viscosity grades, quality levels, and channels - Current PCMO market overview
• Electrification of passenger vehicles
  − Current usage of electric and hybrid vehicles, government targets and regulations promoting electrification, charging infrastructure and usage issues, economics relative to conventional vehicles, and consumer attitudes
• Ride-sharing economy
  − Current ride-sharing fleet size and growth, regulations covering ride-sharing, consumer attitudes, attitudes of taxi unions, and assessment of potential of displacement of personal use passenger vehicles
• PCMO 2040 Market Outlook
  − Implications for key players in the PCMO industry
  − Appraisal

Scope & Benefits

The PCMO Market in 2040: A Long-term Outlook provides a detailed independent assessment of the changing PCMO market in context of the electrification of passenger cars, growth in ride-sharing, and the emergence of autonomous vehicles. Specifically, the study provides the following:

• Assessment of the current and projected passenger car fleet in the leading country markets
• Analysis of vehicle ownership and usage characteristics in the leading country markets
• Current and projected PCMO demand in the leading markets by viscosity grades, quality levels, and channels
• Current and projected penetration of electric vehicles and impact on the PCMO market
• Current and projected size of ride-sharing fleet and impact on the PCMO market
• Market outlook, and the opportunities and challenges in the emerging PCMO market

This report assists lubricant marketers in identifying opportunities and challenges within the PCMO industry. It also serves as an invaluable tool in the strategic planning process. Specifically, the report helps subscribers:

• Develop an understanding of the disrupting technologies that are reshaping the PCMO market
• Assess future overall PCMO demand based on the vehicle parc's growth, penetration by vehicle technology type, changes in oil drain intervals, and changes in crankcase capacity, although the outlook for each individual viscosity grade and quality level is not provided as they are assessed on a qualitative basis
• Develop multiple market scenarios and assess the impact of these on the PCMO market
• Understand economic and other market drivers and their impact on PCMO demand outlook
• Evaluate market opportunities and challenges
• Design and develop products and market strategies for the emerging PCMO market